I am a fairly young investor having only gone through the tech boom/bust. I made it through that issue. Here is my problem with this current downturn. First, there are the subprime mortgages which were a mistake (I find the fact that some of the loans actually occurred as shocking). Second, I have heard that a good number of people relied on their home equity to pay consummables. I am not sure if that is true but that makes little sense to me. Thirdly, these loans were packaged as investments (I think the drop in these investments led to people not wanting to grant credit). Fourthly, the fed dropped the fed funds rate 3/4 of a point and will likely drop it again. To me, this all argues for a decrease in what consumers have to spend. Further, I think this also argues for a fairly substantial recession. It just seems that the credit and equity issues will take a while to work out. Am curious about where we are headed.
I also do dollar cost averaging. Regardless of what the market does, my wife and I will continue to do this. I will come up with an argument as to why I think it (the market) will drop but honestly if I were truly good at it I would be considerably wealthier than I am now (I would be living someplace warm and not needing to work). Am simply curious what the thoughts are out there.
Posts Tagged ‘Economic’
Recession or major economic issue?
In these economic times, is there anyone who will give a home equity loan to a person with bad credit.?
My husband was ill for many years before he died, and we went through a vicious cycle of slow credit, chapter 13, and chapter 7. His insurance paid off the house. It is my only asset, but because of my credit situation, I cannot get a loan. I am once again caught in the cycle of slow pays. I have a very decent monthly income, but I am constantly playing catch up, so I can’t get ahead.
Do people realize that its an error to blame this economic mess on Subprime lending?
The fact is subprime lending was a good idea (helping people with lower fico scores if they had enough income). The dangerous part was the ARM and Option Arm Lending. About 80% of subprime mortgages are good…and still good. This financial mess we’re in was influenced by lax regulation in giving out ARM’s (Adjustable Rate Mortgages).
I find it sad to see the media blame folks with subprime loans for this mess, when the issue is really the ease at which lending institutions gave out ARM loans because they felt home prices would continue to rise forever, and when that didn’t happen and people mortgage payments adjusted and they couldn’t refinance due to lack of equity the whole system crashed and they blame the borrowers. Just despicable.
Anyone have any insight on this situation?
Webshop For Community Economic Development
This 1 hour webshop presented by Susan Hailman (Campaign Consultation Incorporated) discusses how national service programs play a role in sustainable housing and economic growth. The speakers inc…
Hard Times: The Town The Economic Downturn Forgot
24 Oct 2008 – The area around Colesburg, Iowa, seems impervious to the nationwide economic downturn. The farms are doing well. The farm equipment dealers cant keep tractors in stock. And as other b…
Preventing Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Collapse; Credit Crunch & Equity Markets; Insight, Outlook For Philips 2q Earnings; Outlook For European Earnings; Global Economic Slowdown & Earnings
Paulson says: Authority to buy unlimited stakes; Increase credit lines; Borrow directly from Fed; Paulson puts treasury behind Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, in bid to calm market; Philips ‘confident’…
Preventing Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Collapse; Credit Crunch & Equity Markets; Insight, Outlook For Philips 2q Earnings; Outlook For European Earnings; Global Economic Slowdown & Earnings
Paulson says: Authority to buy unlimited stakes; Increase credit lines; Borrow directly from Fed; Paulson puts treasury behind Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, in bid to calm market; Philips ‘confident’…
Preventing Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Collapse; Credit Crunch & Equity Markets; Insight, Outlook For Philips 2q Earnings; Outlook For European Earnings; Global Economic Slowdown & Earnings
Paulson says: Authority to buy unlimited stakes; Increase credit lines; Borrow directly from Fed; Paulson puts treasury behind Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, in bid to calm market; Philips ‘confident’…
Do You Understand This Economic Plan?
We can’t wait to help workers and families and communities who are struggling right now – who don’t know if their job or their retirement will be there tomorrow; who don’t know if next week’s paycheck will cover this month’s bills. We need to pass an economic rescue plan for the middle-class and we need to do it now. Today I’m proposing a number of steps that we should take immediately to stabilize our financial system, provide relief to families and communities, and help struggling homeowners. It’s a plan that begins with one word that’s on everyone’s mind, and it’s spelled J-O-B-S.
We’ve already lost three-quarters of a million jobs this year, and some experts say that unemployment may rise to 8% by the end of next year. We can’t wait until then to start creating new jobs. That’s why I’m proposing to give our businesses a new American jobs tax credit for each new employee they hire here in the United States over the next two years.
We will also save one million jobs by creating a Jobs and Growth Fund that will provide money to states and local communities so that they can move forward with projects to rebuild and repair our roads, our bridges, and our schools. A lot of these projects and these jobs are at risk right now because of budget shortfalls, but this fund will make sure they continue.
…At a time when the ups and downs of the stock market have rarely been so unpredictable and dramatic, we also need to give families and retirees more flexibility and security when it comes to their retirement savings. …Since so many Americans will be struggling to pay the bills over the next year, I propose that we allow every family to withdraw up to 15% from their IRA or 401(k) – up to a maximum of $10,000 – without any fine or penalty throughout 2009. This will help families get through this crisis without being forced to make painful choices like selling their homes or not sending their kids to college.
…For those Americans in danger of losing their homes, today I’m also proposing a three-month moratorium on foreclosures. If you are a bank or lender that is getting money from the rescue plan that passed Congress, and your customers are making a good-faith effort to make their mortgage payments and re-negotiate their mortgages, you will not be able to foreclose on their home for three months. We need to give people the breathing room they need to get back on their feet.
…It also means promoting a new ethic of responsibility. Part of the reason this crisis occurred is that everyone was living beyond their means – from Wall Street to Washington to even some on Main Street. CEOs got greedy. Politicians spent money they didn’t have. Lenders tricked people into buying home they couldn’t afford and some folks knew they couldn’t afford them and bought them anyway.
We’ve lived through an era of easy money, in which we were allowed and even encouraged to spend without limits; to borrow instead of save.
Now, I know that in an age of declining wages and skyrocketing costs, for many folks this was not a choice but a necessity. People have been forced to turn to credit cards and home equity loans to keep up, just like our government has borrowed from China and other creditors to help pay its bills.
But we now know how dangerous that can be. Once we get past the present emergency, which requires immediate new investments, we have to break that cycle of debt. Our long-term future requires that we do what’s necessary to scale down our deficits, grow wages and encourage personal savings again.
It’s a serious challenge. But we can do it if we act now, and if we act as one nation. We can bring a new era of responsibility and accountability to Wall Street and to Washington. We can put in place common-sense regulations to prevent a crisis like this from ever happening again. We can make investments in the technology and innovation that will restore prosperity and lead to new jobs and a new economy for the 21st century. We can restore a sense of fairness and balance that will give ever American a fair shot at the American dream. And above all, we can restore confidence – confidence in America, confidence in our economy, and confidence in ourselves.
Read Barack’s full remarks, as prepared for delivery…
Obama’s plan includes four new major ideas about job creation, relief to families, relief to homeowners and responding to the financial crisis:
Job Creation: A New American Jobs Tax Credit. Obama is calling for a temporary tax credit for firms that create new jobs in the United States over the next two years.
Relief to Families: Penalty-Free Withdrawals from IRAs and 401(k)s in 2008 and 2009. Obama is calling for new legislation to allow families to withdraw 15% of their retirement savings – up to a maximum of $10,000 – without facing a tax-penalty this year (including retroactively) and next year.
Relief